The counter projects 14 million additional preventable deaths by 2030 based on a peer-reviewed study published in The Lancet (Cavalcanti et al., 2025). The study modeled mortality across 133 low- and middle-income countries under an 83% USAID funding cut scenario, using data from 2001-2021 to establish baseline impact.

Funding data is pulled every 6 hours from the USAspending.gov API (agency code 072). Health indicators come from the WHO Global Health Observatory OData API, covering under-5 mortality, maternal mortality, HIV/AIDS deaths, malaria deaths, and TB incidence across 20 priority USAID-recipient countries.

The counter uses linear interpolation between the study's estimated starting impact (757,314 deaths as of January 1, 2026) and the projected total (14,000,000 by January 1, 2030). Actual impact may differ. This tracker exists to make the projection visible alongside real data as it becomes available.